Website: //www.economics-tuition.com Theory of Demand
Changes in Quantity Demanded (Movement along the Demand Curve)
Changes in Demand (Shifts in the entire Demand Curve) 6.1 Determinants of Demand
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The Central Problem of Economics is on how to allocate scarce resources to satisfy unlimited wants. You have learnt how the Market Economy is an economic system that uses the price mechanism to handle this problem. Now, we move on to understand how this price mechanism works, particularly how prices are determined. In the market economy, prices are determined by the intersection of demand and supply. It is these two topics, demand and supply, that we now seek to understand. 1. DEFINITION OF DEMAND Demand is the relationship indicating the quantity of a well-defined good or service that consumers are **willing and able to buy** at each possible price during a given period of time, ceteris paribus1. Demand is different from consumers’ wants. Demand is also not a desire or wish to posses a good or service. Demand refers to effective demand – a desire that must be backed by purchasing power**. 2. THE DEMAND CURVE
A demand schedule refers to a table showing the different total quantities of a good that consumers are willing able to but at various prices over a given period of time.
Price of good X Quantity demanded (units) of good X
A demand curve illustrates a demand schedule in graphical form, with price measured on the vertical axis and quantity demanded on the horizontal axis.
1 Ceteris Paribus in Latin means 'other things being equal'. This assumption has to be made when making deductions from theories.
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Website: //www.economics-tuition.com THE LAW OF DEMAND
The law of demand states that an inverse relationship exists between the price of a good and the quantity demanded of the good, ceteris paribus.
Referring to Table 1, it can be seen that the quantity demanded of good X increases as the price of good X decreases. This is the Law of Demand which is illustrated in Figure 1 as a downward sloping curve with a negative slope. 4. INDIVIDUAL DEMAND VS. MARKET DEMAND
Individual demand refers to the demand of an individual consumer. Market demand refers to the total quantity demanded of all individuals who are willing and able to purchase the good at various prices. It is derived by the horizontal summation of all the individual demand curves. Note: A derived demand is the demand for a factor of production depends on the demand for the good which uses it. Example: The demand for labour, skilled or unskilled is a derived demand as it is ultimately the services they are providing that consumers want i.e. demand for doctors as there is demand for medical services.
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Website: //www.economics-tuition.com CHANGES IN QUANTITY DEMANDED (MOVEMENT ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE)
The quantity demanded for a particular good refers to a particular point on the demand curve. It shows the quantity demanded (i.e. 20 units) at one given price (i.e. $1.00). A demand curve is constructed on the assumption that 'other things remain equal' (ceteris paribus). In other words, it is assumed that none of the determinants of demand, other than price, changes. The effect of a change in price is then simply illustrated by a movement along the demand curve, e.g. from point A to point B in Figure 3. This is termed as a change in quantity demanded.
Figure 3: Change in the quantity demanded
(Arising from a change in the PRICE) CHANGES IN DEMAND (SHIFTS IN THE ENTIRE DEMAND CURVE)
The demand for a particular good refers to the entire relation indicating the quantity demanded at each price. It is represented by the whole demand schedule or demand curve. When one of the other determinants does change we see that, at every single price, the quantity demanded has either increased or decreased. It is illustrated by a shift of the entire demand curve, e.g. from DD to DD1 or DD2 in Figure 4. This is termed as a change in demand.
Figure 4: Change in demand (Arising from a change in factors other than the price of the good itself)
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Website: //www.economics-tuition.com Determinants of demand (factors that shift the demand curve)
The following are the non-price factors determining the consumers’ willingness and ability to buy goods and services. a) Changes in Consumer Income The ability of consumers to buy goods is directly dependent on their income. Usually, as the income increases, more of a good will be demanded. A normal good is a good whose demand is positively related to changes in income. An increase in income will lead to an increase in demand, illustrated by a rightward shift in the demand curve as shown by Figure 5(i). At every price, more of the good will be demanded with the higher income level. Examples of normal goods will be cars and houses. As people become more affluent, they will want to own a car. This can be seen in countries like China where people turned away from bicycles to driving cars as the economy experiences strong growth in recent years. An inferior good is a good whose demand is inversely related to changes in income. An increase in income will cause a fall in demand. The demand curve will shift to the left when income increases, as illustrated by Figure 5(ii). Examples of inferior good are hawker centre food, bus rides, used furniture and used clothing. As income increases, consumers tend to switch from consuming these inferior goods to normal goods such as restaurant food, taxi rides new furniture and new clothing respectively.
Figure 5: Changes in income and the demand curve
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Website: //www.economics-tuition.com b) Changes in Consumers’ Expectations Another factor that can shift the demand curve is a change in consumers’ expectations regarding future income and future price of a good. A consumer who is expecting a rise in pay is likely to increase his current demand of goods and services in anticipation of his increase in pay. Demand in this case is based not only on current income but on expected income. Demand is also affected by changes in price expectations. For example, if consumers expect the price of property to increase further, they will probably increase their demand for flats this year. On the other hand, if prices are expected to fall next year, consumers will tend to postpone their purchases until next year. Changes in expectations will have less impact if the good in question is perishable. If an individual expects the price of fresh milk to go up next month, he will not buy 30 extra boxes today. However, if the price of fresh milk is to increase tomorrow, the individual may increase his purchase of fresh milk by a little today. c) Changes in Tastes and Preferences Choices in food, clothing, movies, music, reading – indeed, all consumption choices – usually are influenced by consumers’ tastes and preferences. Since tastes and preferences are merely consumers’ likes and dislikes, a change in tastes and preferences can change demand. Consumers usually demand for goods and services that are fashionable and when the craze is over, the demand will fall. Examples are iPhone, bubble tea, pork floss bun, Rotiboy (coffee bun) and the most recent will be donuts. Sometimes, a change in tastes and preferences may be related to some particular events. For example, the demand for kiwi could increase if the public developed the perception that it is one of the richest fruit in Vitamin C and can improve people immune system significantly. Similarly, if health officials warn that kiwi consumption is linked to allergies and advise parents not to feed kiwi to their children below five years old, the demand will fall. In recent years, news broadcast on deaths caused by Mad Cow Disease and H5N1 Bird flu2 may also cause the consumers to avoid eating beef and poultry and this will lead to a fall in demand for beef and poultry. Consumers' taste and preference are also affected by advertising. Effective and successful advertising creates wants so that at every single price, the consumer is now willing to purchase more of the good. d) Changes in the Price of Related Goods A change in the price of one good can cause a shift in the demand of another good. When an increase in the price of one good causes the demand for a related good to increase, the two goods are substitutes.Goods are substitutes if they are alternatives or perceived to be alternatives that satisfy the same consumer wants. For example, an increase in the price of Adidas shoes will cause the demand for Nike shoes to increase. The demand curve for
2 Refer to Appendix 1 for a report on the rise in demand for Tamiflu tablets.
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Nike shoes will shift to the right, as shown in Figure 6(i). Conversely, a decrease in the price of one good will lead to a decrease in the demand for its substitutes. When an increase in the price of one good causes the demand for a related good to decrease, the two goods are known as complements.Goods, which are complements, are often jointly demanded as they are used in combination to satisfy the same consumer want. Examples are computer hardware and software, mobile phones and mobile subscription plans. Figure 6(ii) shows that when the price of subscription plan decreases, the demand for mobile phones will shift to the right. Conversely, an increase in the price of the mobile subscription plan will lead to a decrease in the demand for the mobile phones.
Figure 6: Changes in price of the related goods and the demand curve
Note: Goods that are complements are not of an input-output relationship. It is inaccurate to say sugar and cake are complements as sugar is only one of the ingredients to bake cake. Rather, goods that are complements are consumed together. A complement for cake will be a cup of tea.
e) Changes in the Composition of Population (i) Age Composition For example, if the number of elderly people increases, the demand for false teeth, spectacles and old-age homes may increase. Similarly, if the baby population declines, the demand for baby food and baby diapers will fall. (ii) Sex Composition For example, if there is a growing imbalance of females over males, the demand for cosmetics, clothes for females and beauty salon services will increase. f) Changes in the Size of Population Certain markets face huge influences when population size changes relatively quickly. For eg, hosing and property markets experience turbulence when more foreigners are welcome into Singapore.
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g) Others (i) Government Policies and Action Government actions can change the demand for the good. For example, by informing the public that smoking causes lung cancer or restricting the advertisement of cigarettes, the demand for cigarettes would decrease. (ii) Changes in Seasons and Weather Certain types of goods may have higher demand in certain time of the year. For example, demand for flowers and chocolate may be higher when Mother’s Day or Valentine Day is approaching compared to the rest of the year. 7.
Demand = willingness and ability to purchase
Qd = f(price of the good, price of other goods, income, taste, population,….)
Change in quantity demanded Change in Demand
the good itself other than the price of the good itself
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